Can Google Predict The Iowa Caucus Winners?

I was playing around with Google Trends and I had this cool idea. Let’s see if Google can predict the Iowa Caucus winner.

I entered in 5 candidates from each party. So I entered Ron Paul, Mit Romney, Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, and Mike Huckabee. Here’s the results for the Republicans first.

I set Google trends to only show me searches done in Iowa for the past year.

googlepoll4.jpg

1. Ron Paul
2. Mike Huckabee
3. John McCain
4. Rudy Giuliani
5. Mit Romney

For the Democrats I entered in Hilary Clinton, Barack Obama, John Edwards, Joe Biden, and Dennis Kucinich. I just chose 5 people since that’s all I’m allowed.

Here’s the Democrat results.

googlepoll3.jpg

Strangely enough. None of the Democrats had enough searches in the last year in Iowa to give as accurate results. But we do have a number here.

1. Barack Obama
2. John Edwards
3. Hillary Clinton
4. Joe Biden
5. Dennis Kucinich

Well tomorrow we’ll know how Google is at predicting elections.

4 Comments

  1. Frank on January 3, 2008 at 10:19 am

    Interesting study looking forward to seeing the results.



  2. […] Armand Morin placed an observative post today on Can Google Predict The Iowa Caucus Winners?Here’s a quick excerpt […]



  3. Segovia on January 3, 2008 at 5:19 pm

    Once the results are in, next step is to see how well google can predict stock market trends 😉



  4. Jeanette on January 3, 2008 at 11:01 pm

    Apparently Google is democratic! The Democrats lined up exactly in that order on election results tonight.

    But there was no resemblance to reality in terms of Republican results. Well, batting 500 is not bad!

    Interesting search, Armand.